Hellas Verona vs AS Roma: Serie A Showdown on May 24, 2026

On 24 May 2026, as the late spring light drops over Verona, Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona becomes the stage for a match loaded with contrasting stakes: survival pride for Hellas Verona, and Champions League consolidation for AS Roma. With the final whistle of the Serie A campaign looming, the hosts stare at the trapdoor to Serie B, while the visitors arrive chasing a top-four finish that would confirm a place in Europe’s elite.

Season Context

For Hellas Verona, the table tells a brutal story. Nineteenth place with 21 points and a goal difference of -34 leaves them entrenched in the “Relegation - Serie B” zone. Across 37 matches they have collected only 3 wins, 12 draws and 22 defeats, scoring 25 goals and conceding 59. At home, just 1 win in 18 attempts underlines how fragile they have been in front of their own supporters.

AS Roma arrive at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi from the opposite end of the spectrum. Fourth place with 70 points and a +26 goal difference reflects a side firmly in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” positions. Over 37 games they have won 22, drawn 4 and lost 11, hitting 57 goals and allowing only 31. With 13 home wins and 9 away wins, their record shows a team that has consistently imposed itself across Italy.

Form & Momentum

Hellas Verona’s recent league form string reads “DLDDL”, a sequence that underlines a side struggling to turn performances into victories (3 wins from 37 overall). Averaging just under a goal per game in the league (25 goals in 37 matches) and conceding well over one per outing (59 in 37) has left them constantly chasing games, and their low points tally (21) confirms how costly those margins have been.

AS Roma, by contrast, come in with the form string “WWWWD”, a surge that reflects a team finishing the calendar year strongly (70 points from 37 matches). Their attack has been consistently effective (57 goals in 37, around 1.5 per game), while a tight defence (31 conceded in 37, well under one per game) has provided the platform for that late push. That balance of scoring power and solidity has made them one of Serie A’s most reliable sides in 2025.

Head-to-Head Patterns

The recent history between these clubs has swung back and forth, with both sides finding reasons for belief. On 28 September 2025, AS Roma beat Hellas Verona 2-0 at Stadio Olimpico (Serie A, season 2025, September 2025), a controlled home win that underlined the capital club’s superiority on the day. Earlier that year, on 19 April 2025, AS Roma again edged a tight contest 1-0 at Stadio Olimpico (Serie A, season 2024, April 2025), showing they can grind out narrow victories when needed.

However, Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi has not always been kind to the Giallorossi. On 3 November 2024, Hellas Verona produced a stirring 3-2 home win over AS Roma at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi (Serie A, season 2024, November 2024), a reminder that Verona can turn this venue into a difficult trip even for high-flying visitors.

Tactical Preview

Hellas Verona’s season-long data points to a team built on back-three structures and hard running. Their most used system is a 3-5-2 (25 matches), with variations such as 3-5-1-1 and 3-4-2-1 also appearing multiple times. That shape is designed to protect a defence that has still conceded 59 league goals (from 37 games) and to provide width from wing-backs like M. Frese, who combines defensive work (79 tackles and 28 interceptions) with forward thrust. In midfield, R. Gagliardini offers bite and volume (73 tackles and 54 interceptions, plus 10 yellow cards), while J. Akpa Akpro adds energy (39 tackles and 20 interceptions). Up front, G. Orban brings their most direct threat (7 goals and 2 assists), supported by runners such as T. Suslov and other attackers listed in the squad.

Given their low scoring output (25 goals in 37) and high concession rate (59 in 37), Verona are likely to sit in a compact mid-to-low block, trying to clog central areas and rely on counters and set pieces. Their disciplinary profile, with multiple players high in yellow-card counts, hints at an aggressive, interruption-heavy approach designed to break Roma’s rhythm.

AS Roma, meanwhile, have leaned heavily on a three-at-the-back framework with attacking wing-backs and dual creators behind a central striker. Their dominant formation is 3-4-2-1 (29 matches), with 3-4-1-2 and 3-5-2 also used. This structure has underpinned a strong attacking record (57 league goals) and a very solid defence (31 conceded). In the final third, D. Malen stands out as a key reference: 13 goals and 2 assists in 17 appearances, with 29 shots on target from 46 attempts, mark him as a ruthless finisher. Around him, M. Soulé brings creativity and volume (5 assists, 6 goals, 45 key passes and 92 dribble attempts), capable of unlocking Verona’s back line between the lines.

Roma’s back line is anchored by figures like G. Mancini and Hermoso, both comfortable on the ball (1599 and 1337 passes respectively, each at 86% accuracy) and strong defensively (Mancini with 51 tackles and 47 interceptions; Hermoso with 36 tackles and 28 interceptions). On the flanks, Z. Çelik offers defensive intensity (62 tackles) and overlapping runs, while midfielders such as Wesley add steel and progression (53 tackles, 33 key passes). Even with E. Bove ruled out for this fixture due to heart problems, Roma’s squad depth across midfield and attack looks sufficient to maintain their usual possession-heavy, front-foot style.

Tactically, this sets up as Roma’s structured 3-4-2-1 probing patiently against Verona’s deeper 3-5-2. Roma’s superior attacking metrics (57 goals versus Verona’s 25) and much tighter defence (31 conceded versus 59) suggest they can control territory and chances, while Verona will hope their familiarity with Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi and the memory of that 3-2 win in November 2024 can inspire another upset.

Statistical Snapshot

• Competition: Serie A, season 2025 — 24 May 2026.
• Venue: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona.
• Prediction: null — Winner : AS Roma.
• Win Probabilities: Home 10% / Draw 45% / Away 45%.
• Model: Hellas Verona 31.0% — AS Roma 69.0%.

Betting Verdict

With AS Roma in strong recent form (“WWWWD”) and boasting far better season numbers at both ends of the pitch (57 scored, 31 conceded) than Hellas Verona (25 scored, 59 conceded), the model-backed call of “Winner : AS Roma” is well supported. The away side are trading at roughly 1.29–1.35 across major bookmakers, a short price that reflects their superiority and Champions League motivation. Verona’s relegation-trapped campaign and modest recent run (“DLDDL”) make the upset a long shot, even if past head-to-heads at this ground, such as the 3-2 home win in November 2024, warn against complacency. Overall, the analytical case favours Roma to justify their odds and take all three points, with any Verona resistance more likely to influence margin than outcome.