Lazio W vs Ternana W: Key Late-Season Clash in Serie A Women

Campo Mirko Fersini hosts a pivotal late-season clash in Serie A Women on 10 May 2026 as 4th-placed Lazio W welcome 11th-placed Ternana W. With only two regular-season rounds left (Round 21), Lazio are fighting to lock in a top-four finish, while Ternana are trying to drag themselves away from the bottom with a fragile cushion built on just three wins all season.

Context and Stakes

In the league, Lazio sit 4th on 30 points from 20 matches, with a goal difference of 0 (28 scored, 28 conceded). Their form line of “WLLLW” in the standings confirms a recent wobble: three defeats in their last four league games, punctuated by a single win.

Ternana arrive in Rome in 11th place with 14 points, a goal difference of -20 (18 scored, 38 conceded) and a form sequence of “LDLDD” in the table. They have not won any of their last five league fixtures and have collected just three victories across the entire season.

The gap in quality and consistency is clear, but the timing of the fixture – with Lazio stumbling and Ternana drawing more often – keeps the stakes sharp. For Lazio, anything less than three points would put pressure on their top-four ambitions. For Ternana, even a point away from home against a top-four side would be precious.

Tactical Landscape: Lazio W

Across all phases, Lazio’s season profile is that of a high-variance side: 9 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses from 20 fixtures. They score and concede at identical rates (28 for, 28 against), averaging 1.4 goals both for and against per match.

At Campo Mirko Fersini, they have been inconsistent:

• Home record: 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses (10 played)
• Goals at home: 11 for, 12 against (1.1 scored, 1.2 conceded per game)

Lazio’s tactical flexibility is evident from their lineups data. They have most frequently used:

• 3-4-2-1 (4 matches)
• 3-1-4-2 (4 matches)

with occasional switches to 4-3-3 and 4-4-2.

Those shapes point to a team comfortable with a back three and wing-backs, often deploying two attacking midfielders/forwards behind a striker or a dual-striker system with a midfield box. That structure suits their attacking talent:

• Martina Piemonte (7 league goals, rating 7.18) is Lazio’s primary finisher. With 19 shots and 12 on target, she converts a healthy volume of chances and is central to their penalty-box presence.
• Clarisse Le Bihan (3 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.24) provides creativity and secondary scoring. Her 26 key passes and 72% pass accuracy underline her role as the link between midfield and attack.
• Nikola Karczewska (3 goals) offers impact depth; 3 goals from 434 minutes suggests she is an effective rotational or bench option, especially when Lazio chase games.

Defensively, Lazio are solid but not watertight. They have kept 5 clean sheets across all phases and failed to score in 6 matches, underlining their streaky nature. Their disciplinary record is notable: multiple red cards across different time ranges, which hints at potential late-game volatility, especially when chasing or protecting leads.

One key structural advantage for Lazio here is that they do not rely on penalties: team penalty stats show 0 taken, 0 scored, 0 missed. Their goals come almost entirely from open play or non-penalty set pieces, which reduces variance in a match where they will likely dominate territory.

Tactical Landscape: Ternana W

Across all phases, Ternana’s numbers tell a story of struggle:

• 3 wins, 5 draws, 12 losses from 20 matches
• 18 goals scored, 38 conceded (0.9 scored, 1.9 conceded per game)

Their away record is particularly concerning:

• Away: 1 win, 1 draw, 8 losses
• Goals away: 4 for, 21 against (0.4 scored, 2.1 conceded per match)

That meagre away attacking output suggests Ternana will likely approach this game conservatively, prioritising compactness and counter-attacks rather than open exchanges.

Formationally, Ternana have leaned on:

• 4-3-3 (6 matches)
• 4-1-3-2 (3 matches)

with occasional 3-4-1-2 and 4-4-2. The 4-3-3 and 4-1-3-2 shapes allow them to crowd central areas while leaving scope for quick transitions.

Key figures:

• V. Pirone (5 goals, 1 assist, rating 7.13) is the focal point of the attack. With 19 shots, 7 on target and 13 key passes, she is both finisher and creator. Crucially, she has a strong penalty record individually: 4 scored, 1 missed, having won 4 penalties.
• Giada Cimò (3 goals, 1 assist, rating 7.22) is a dynamic midfield presence. With 20 shots (12 on target), 15 key passes and 25 tackles, she contributes in both boxes and can threaten from range or late runs.

From the spot, Ternana as a team have been reliable: 6 penalties taken, 6 scored, 0 missed. Combined with Pirone’s 4/5 record individually, this is a genuine weapon in a match where they may not create many chances from open play.

Defensively, Ternana’s vulnerability is stark: 38 goals conceded in 20 matches, and they have shipped 21 in 10 away games. They do, however, have 4 clean sheets across all phases, showing that on their best days, their low block can hold.

Their disciplinary data suggests an aggressive side: a high spread of yellow cards across all time ranges and two red cards between 31-45 minutes this season. Away to a more talented Lazio side, maintaining 11 players on the pitch will be crucial.

Head-to-Head Snapshot

There is only one recent competitive meeting in the data between these sides:

• On 18 January 2026 in Serie A Women (Regular Season - 10), at Stadio Libero Liberati, Ternana W beat Lazio W 1-0.

So, in the last competitive head-to-head:

• Lazio W wins: 0
• Ternana W wins: 1
• Draws: 0

That 1-0 home victory will give Ternana psychological belief, but it does not override the broader season-long performance gap.

Key Battlegrounds

1. Lazio’s front line vs Ternana’s away defence
   Lazio average 1.4 goals per game overall, while Ternana concede 2.1 per away match. If Piemonte and Le Bihan receive consistent service, Lazio should generate a higher shot volume than Ternana can handle.
2. Set pieces and penalties
   Lazio do not lean on penalties; Ternana do, and they convert them all at team level. Any defensive lapses from Lazio in their own box could keep Ternana alive even if they are second-best in open play.
3. Midfield control
   Lazio’s preference for a back three with a strong midfield line aims to dominate the central zones. Cimò’s all-action profile is vital for Ternana to disrupt Lazio’s build-up and launch counters towards Pirone.
4. Game state and discipline
   Lazio’s history of red cards and Ternana’s aggressive card profile mean discipline could swing the match. A sending-off either way would radically change the tactical script.

The Verdict

Data and context both lean towards a Lazio home win. They are higher in the league, have a more balanced goal profile, and possess greater attacking depth. Ternana’s away record – 1 win, 1 draw, 8 defeats with only 4 goals scored – is a major red flag.

However, Ternana have already beaten Lazio 1-0 this season and carry a genuine penalty threat through Pirone. If they can keep the game tight, defend deep and exploit set pieces, they have a route to an upset.

Most likely scenario: Lazio control possession, create the bulk of chances and eventually break down Ternana’s defence, with Piemonte and Le Bihan central to the outcome. Ternana’s best hope lies in defensive resilience and clinical exploitation of the few opportunities they get.

Lazio go into 10 May 2026 as clear favourites, but with enough warning signs from the reverse fixture and their own recent form to ensure they cannot take this one lightly.