FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

FC Tulsa welcome Monterey Bay to ONEOK Field in USL Championship Group Stage action on 18 June 2026, with both sides looking to solidify their positions in the Western Conference picture. The match in Tulsa comes at a time when the hosts are pushing within the play-off spots, while the visitors are trying to claw their way out of the lower reaches of the standings.

FC Tulsa sit 7th in the USL 1 group on 16 points from 11 matches, with a goal difference of 0 after scoring and conceding 14. They are currently in the “Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, so every home game is critical to maintain that status. Monterey Bay, by contrast, are 12th with 11 points from 12 matches and a goal difference of -7, leaving them looking up the table and in need of results to avoid being cut adrift.

The venue, ONEOK Field, has already been a happy hunting ground for Tulsa in this matchup, and the head-to-head record strongly favours the hosts. With FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay predictions leaning towards the home side and the historical H2H trends backing them up, this fixture shapes as a key reference point for bettors studying USL Championship betting tips and match previews.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Stats

• FC Tulsa are 7th with 16 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats, 14 goals for, 14 against), currently occupying a USL Championship play-off spot.
• Across their last five USL Championship meetings listed, FC Tulsa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats against Monterey Bay, including a 2-1 away victory on 3 May 2026.
• FC Tulsa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, while Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded, underlining a slight attacking edge for the hosts and a leakier defence for the visitors.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 12
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 14 vs 13
• Goals Against: 14 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: FC Tulsa 3; Monterey Bay 2

The season record shows FC Tulsa in a stronger position, both in the table and in terms of balance between attack and defence. With 14 goals scored and 14 conceded from 11 games, Tulsa have been competitive in most fixtures and have converted that into 16 points and a play-off berth. Their home record (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat, 6 goals scored, 4 conceded) suggests ONEOK Field is a solid base.

Monterey Bay’s numbers paint a more fragile picture. They have 13 goals for and 20 against across 12 matches, with just 3 wins and 2 draws. Away from home they have yet to win in 5 attempts, drawing 1 and losing 4, with only 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. That away defensive record, combined with Tulsa’s play-off-level form, tilts the matchup clearly towards the hosts, even though Monterey Bay have shown some attacking improvement in their recent run of “WWWLL”.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Matchups

FC Tulsa attack vs Monterey Bay defence

With FC Tulsa averaging 1.3 goals per game and Monterey Bay conceding 1.7 per match overall — including 2.4 per game away — the battle between the home attack and the visitors’ back line is likely to be decisive. Tulsa have produced 6 goals in 5 home fixtures and have already shown they can score multiple times against Monterey Bay, as in the 2-1 away win on 3 May 2026. Monterey Bay’s biggest away defeat of 4-1 this season underlines their vulnerability when they are forced to open up on the road.

Monterey Bay attack vs FC Tulsa defensive structure

Monterey Bay’s attack has improved recently, with their last five outings yielding 10 goals at an average of 2 per game. However, their season-long away average of 0.8 goals per match shows that this productivity has been more pronounced at home. FC Tulsa, by contrast, concede only 0.8 goals per game at home. The visitors will need to replicate their recent attacking form against a defence that has kept 3 clean sheets this campaign and has rarely been overwhelmed at ONEOK Field.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head history strongly favours FC Tulsa, who have dominated this fixture in recent years. Across the last seven USL Championship meetings listed, Tulsa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats against Monterey Bay.

• 3 May 2026: Monterey Bay 1-2 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 7 August 2025: Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 17 July 2025: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
• 27 October 2024: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
• 14 July 2024: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 1 June 2023: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 13 October 2022: Tulsa Roughnecks 2-0 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Analysis points to FC Tulsa holding the upper hand. They are higher in the table, have a positive home record and boast a strong head-to-head dominance, including three consecutive wins over Monterey Bay between July 2025 and May 2026. Their league form string of “LDWWW” indicates an upward trajectory, with three wins in their last three outings.

Monterey Bay arrive with a recent league form of “WWWLL”, reflecting a recovery from a long poor run (“LLDLDLLLLWWW” overall) but also some inconsistency. Their away record, with no wins and 12 goals conceded in 5 games, is a major concern against a Tulsa side that tends to manage games well at ONEOK Field. The prediction metrics give FC Tulsa and the draw a combined 90% probability (45% home, 45% draw) against just 10% for an away win, reinforcing the expectation that the hosts avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: FC Tulsa 1-0 Monterey Bay

FC Tulsa League Form

LDWWW

Monterey Bay League Form

WWWLL

FC Tulsa Possible Starting Lineup

T. Henry (GK); L. Batista, A. Cissoko, G. Robinson, L. Stauffer; Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral, G. Colli, K. ElMedkhar; L. Dorsey, N. Pierre.

FC Tulsa have options across the pitch, with multiple experienced defenders such as L. Batista, A. Cissoko and G. Robinson available to form a solid back line. In midfield, creative and industrious profiles like Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral and K. ElMedkhar can help control possession and supply the front line. In attack, players such as L. Dorsey and N. Pierre provide mobility and penetration. The depth in defence and midfield should allow Tulsa to set up in a balanced shape, protecting their strong home defensive record while still committing numbers forward when opportunities arise.

Monterey Bay Possible Starting Lineup

Ciaran Dalton (GK); K. Egwu, L. Malešević, N. Gordon, S. Ritchie; S. Lletget, E. Blancas, A. Rebollar, R. Nakamura; R. Bidois, G. Lomtadze.

Monterey Bay’s squad features a mix of youth and experience. At the back, defenders like K. Egwu, L. Malešević and N. Gordon will be tasked with tightening an away defence that has conceded heavily. In midfield, the presence of S. Lletget alongside players such as E. Blancas and A. Rebollar can give them technical quality and passing range. Up front, attackers like R. Bidois and G. Lomtadze provide options to stretch the Tulsa defence. The challenge will be translating their recent attacking improvement into a more resilient away performance without leaving gaps that Tulsa can exploit.

FC Tulsa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Monterey Bay Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

FC Tulsa:

• None reported.

Monterey Bay:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back FC Tulsa or Draw in the double chance market. The prediction percentages give 45% for a home win and 45% for a draw against only 10% for an away win, while Tulsa’s league position (7th vs 12th) and dominant H2H record make it highly likely the hosts avoid defeat.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals looks a logical angle. Both teams’ predicted goals are listed under 2.5, and Tulsa’s home games average 2 goals per match (6 scored, 4 conceded in 5), while Monterey Bay’s away games average 3.2 but include several heavy defeats. With Tulsa defensively strong at home and Monterey Bay struggling to score on the road (0.8 goals per away game), a tighter contest is plausible.
• Value Tip: FC Tulsa to win by exactly one goal has appeal from a tactical perspective. Four of the last five meetings listed between these sides have finished either 2-1 or 1-0/0-0 margins, and Tulsa’s balanced goal difference (14-14) suggests they often edge close games rather than win by large margins.

How to Watch FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.