AS Roma vs Inter Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Stadio Olimpico hosts a heavyweight Serie A clash on 19 September 2026 as early leaders AS Roma welcome Inter in what already looks like a statement game in the title race. Both sides have started the campaign with four wins from four, setting up a top-of-the-table showdown in Rome.

Roma sit 1st with 12 points and a formidable +11 goal difference, having scored 12 and conceded just 1 across their opening four fixtures. Inter match them on 12 points but trail slightly on goal difference at +7, powered by 13 goals scored and 6 conceded. With both teams perfect so far, this meeting at the Olimpico could shape the narrative of the Serie A title fight and will be closely watched by fans and bettors looking for AS Roma vs Inter prediction angles.

Stats suggest a fascinating contrast of styles: Roma boast the league’s tightest defence so far, while Inter have been more open but devastating going forward. Add a rich recent head-to-head history and some of Serie A’s most in-form attacking talent, and this fixture has all the ingredients of a marquee encounter.

AS Roma vs Inter Key Stats

• Roma and Inter are both on 12 points from 4 matches, but Roma lead the table with a +11 goal difference (12 scored, 1 conceded) compared to Inter’s +7 (13 scored, 6 conceded).
• Inter have dominated recent Serie A meetings, including a 5-2 home win on 5 April 2026 and a 1-0 away victory at the Olimpico on 18 October 2025.
• Roma’s tournament statistics show 3 clean sheets in 4 matches, while Inter have kept 1 clean sheet and conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game.

AS Roma vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 1 vs 2
• Points: 12 vs 12
• Goals For: 12 vs 13
• Goals Against: 1 vs 6
• Clean Sheets: Roma 3, Inter 1 (tournament statistics)

After four matchdays, Roma’s profile is that of a ruthless, balanced side. They have won all four games, scoring 3.0 goals per match and conceding just 0.3 on average. Two home wins (6 goals scored, 1 conceded) and two away wins (6 scored, none conceded) underline both their attacking fluency and defensive solidity.

Inter’s numbers are more volatile but equally impressive in attack. They have scored 13 goals in four games, averaging 3.3 per match, with a particularly strong output at home (12 goals in 3 fixtures). However, they have conceded 6 goals, all at home, for an average of 2.0 per home game. Away from home, they have one win, one goal scored and none conceded, but the sample is small. The standings context paints this as a classic clash: the league’s most balanced side so far against a high-octane attacking unit that is more vulnerable defensively.

AS Roma vs Inter Key Matchups

D. Malen vs Lautaro Martínez

Donyell Malen has been the standout forward in Serie A so far. For Roma, he has 6 goals in 4 appearances, all as a starter, with an excellent 8.1 average rating. He has taken 14 shots, 9 of them on target, and is also contributing in build-up with 50 passes at 82% accuracy and 4 key passes. His dribbling numbers (13 attempts, 8 successful) show he can create his own chances as well as finish them.

For Inter, Lautaro Martínez remains a central attacking reference. In 3 appearances and 3 starts, he has scored 2 goals, added 0 assists, and carries a 7.13 rating. He has 11 shots with 4 on target, 81 passes at 79% accuracy, and 4 key passes, underlining his role as both finisher and link player. He is also combative, with 29 duels and 4 tackles, but has picked up 2 yellow cards. The duel between Malen’s explosive form and Lautaro’s all-round centre-forward play could go a long way to deciding which attack is more efficient on the day.

P. Dybala vs A. Diouf

Paulo Dybala is orchestrating Roma’s attacking play from deeper positions. With 4 assists in 4 appearances and an 8.2 rating, he leads the Serie A assist charts. Dybala has taken 13 shots (4 on target) and completed 192 passes at 83% accuracy, including a remarkable 17 key passes. His creativity between the lines is a major weapon, and he also contributes defensively with 4 tackles and 1 block.

Andy Diouf is Inter’s creative hub from midfield. In 3 appearances, all as a starter, he has delivered 3 assists and posted a 7.37 rating. He has attempted 127 passes at a superb 91% accuracy, with 13 key passes, plus 4 tackles and 2 interceptions. Diouf’s ability to progress the ball and find forwards in dangerous positions will be vital against Roma’s tight defensive structure. This midfield playmaking battle—Dybala as a drifting attacker and Diouf as a central midfielder—could tilt the territorial control of the match.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings between Roma and Inter have been intense and often decisive in the top-four and title picture. Inter, in particular, have enjoyed the upper hand in the last few seasons, especially in Rome.

• 5 April 2026: Inter 5-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 18 October 2025: AS Roma 0-1 Inter (Serie A)
• 27 April 2025: Inter 0-1 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 20 October 2024: AS Roma 0-1 Inter (Serie A)
• 10 February 2024: AS Roma 2-4 Inter (Serie A)

AS Roma vs Inter Prediction

Both teams arrive in outstanding form, each with four straight league wins and identical “WWWW” sequences. Roma’s defensive record is exceptional, with just one goal conceded in four matches and three clean sheets. Their goals conceded profile shows they have only been breached once in the 46–60 minute window, underlining how rarely they lose concentration.

Inter, by contrast, are more open but more explosive. They average 3.3 goals per game and spread their scoring threat across all phases, with particularly strong output between 46–60 minutes and late on. However, they concede more frequently, especially in the first hour of matches, which could play into Roma’s hands if Dybala and Malen start fast.

The prediction model gives Roma only a 10% chance of winning, with both the draw and an Inter victory rated at 45% each. That effectively frames Inter as slight favourites on the “double chance” (draw or away win), reflecting their recent H2H dominance and attacking firepower. Still, Roma’s current defensive level and home advantage at the Olimpico make this feel closer on the pitch than those raw percentages suggest.

Predicted Score: AS Roma 1-1 Inter

AS Roma Recent Form

Roma’s recent form is flawless. They have won all four of their Serie A matches so far, combining a perfect record with a goal difference of +11. Offensively, they average 3.0 goals per game, with goals spread across all periods, and they have failed to score in none of their fixtures. Defensively, they are conceding just 0.3 goals per match and have kept three clean sheets, underlining a well-organised back line and strong game management.

Inter Recent Form

Inter also come into this clash with a 100% record in the league: four wins from four. They have been particularly prolific in attack, averaging 3.3 goals per match, and have scored in every game. Their defensive numbers are less impressive than Roma’s, with 6 goals conceded (1.5 per match), but they have still managed one clean sheet and have shown an ability to outscore opponents even in more open contests.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Svilar or P. Gollini; Defenders: Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, L. Balerdi, D. Rensch; Midfielders: B. Cristante, L. Pellegrini, M. de Roon, N. Molina; Forwards: P. Dybala, D. Malen, M. Soulé.

Roma’s squad list suggests a back line anchored by Hermoso, Mancini and Ndicka, supported by versatile defenders like Balerdi and Rensch. In midfield, experienced operators such as Cristante, Pellegrini and de Roon provide balance and control, while Molina offers width. In attack, Dybala, Malen and Soulé form a potent trio: Dybala as the chief creator, Malen as the primary goal threat with 6 goals, and Soulé adding goals, assists and work rate. With no confirmed absences, Roma can field a strong, flexible 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-1-2 shape as indicated by their most-used formations.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Josep Martínez or I. Provedel; Defenders: M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, B. Pavard, F. Dimarco; Midfielders: N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, A. Diouf, P. Zieliński, Carlos Augusto; Forwards: Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram, F. Esposito.

Inter’s squad profile fits their consistent 3-5-2 setup. At the back, a high-quality defensive unit of Akanji, Bastoni, Pavard and Dimarco provides both solidity and build-up quality. The midfield is stacked with technical and energetic players—Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Diouf and Zieliński—capable of controlling possession and creating chances. Up front, Lautaro, Thuram and Esposito all have 2 goals each in the league, offering a multi-pronged scoring threat. Inter’s depth in attack and midfield should allow them to maintain a high tempo and press Roma’s back line aggressively.

AS Roma Team News

No significant absences reported.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

AS Roma:

• None reported.

Inter:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: AS Roma vs Inter

Below are three data-backed betting ideas for this top-of-the-table clash.

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or Inter. The prediction model rates Roma at just 10% to win, with 45% each for draw and Inter. Inter also have a strong recent H2H record, including a 5-2 win in April 2026 and multiple away victories in Rome. Market odds for the away win generally range from 2.50 to 2.72 (implied probability roughly 36.8% to 40.0%), slightly shorter than most home prices, which supports Inter as marginal favourites on the double chance.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Roma average 3.0 goals scored per game and concede very little, while Inter average 3.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Recent clashes have often been high scoring, such as 5-2 and 4-2 Inter wins. With both attacks in form and Inter’s defence more open, the statistical profile leans towards a match with at least three goals. Use the over/under market from your preferred bookmaker, checking the latest price around the over 2.5 line.
• Value Tip: D. Malen to score anytime. Malen leads the Serie A scoring charts with 6 goals in 4 games, backed by strong shot volume (14 shots, 9 on target) and high involvement. Inter’s defence has conceded in three of four league games and can be exposed by pace and movement in behind. While specific player goal odds are not listed here, Malen’s current form suggests he could be slightly undervalued compared to more established names in the market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.