Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Tottenham welcome Everton to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 12 September 2026 in a Premier League clash that already feels significant for both clubs. The hosts have endured a miserable start, sitting deep in the bottom three, while the visitors arrive unbeaten and looking upward rather than over their shoulders.

After three rounds, Tottenham are 18th with just 1 point and a goal difference of -5, still searching for their first league goal of the campaign. Everton, by contrast, are 8th on 5 points, unbeaten with one win and two draws, and showing early signs of balance between attack and defence. With recent head-to-head history heavily tilted towards Spurs in London, this matchup offers a fascinating contrast between current form and historical dominance.

From a betting and prediction perspective, this fixture pits a struggling giant with strong H2H credentials against an in-form Everton side that the prediction metrics marginally favour. Punters weighing up Tottenham vs Everton predictions will need to balance Spurs’ poor early-season numbers against Everton’s solid start and the psychological edge of recent meetings.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Stats

• Tottenham are 18th in the Premier League with 1 point from 3 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 5.
• In their last five Premier League meetings at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (from February 2022 onwards), Tottenham have won four and drawn one against Everton.
• In 2026 Premier League statistics, Tottenham have failed to score in all 3 matches (0 goals for), while Everton have scored 5 goals in 3 games (average 1.7 per match) and remain unbeaten.

Tottenham vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 18 vs 8
• Points: 1 vs 5
• Goals For: 0 vs 5
• Goals Against: 5 vs 3
• Clean Sheets: Tottenham 1, Everton 1 (2026 Premier League statistics)

The early Premier League standings underline the gulf in form. Tottenham have taken just one point from their opening three fixtures, with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. They have yet to find the net and are conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game across those matches. That leaves them 18th and firmly in the relegation zone at this very early stage.

Everton, meanwhile, sit 8th with 5 points from 3 games (1 win, 2 draws, 0 defeats). They have scored 5 and conceded 3, giving them a positive goal difference of +2. Their 2026 statistics show an attack averaging 1.7 goals per match and a defence allowing 1.0 per game, a solid platform that contrasts sharply with Tottenham’s blunt forward line and leaky back four. Both sides have managed one clean sheet in their three outings, but Everton’s greater attacking output and unbeaten status give them the early-season edge.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Matchups

D. Udogie vs H. Hackney

With no top scorers listed for either side, the focus shifts to key contributors in other metrics. For Tottenham, defender D. Udogie stands out from the disciplinary and involvement data. He has made 3 Premier League appearances in 2026, totalling 92 minutes, with 50 passes at an 88% accuracy, 1 tackle, 1 interception and 14 duels contested, winning 7. He also has 1 yellow card, underlining his combative style on the left side of the defence.

Everton’s creative focal point so far has been midfielder H. Hackney. In 3 appearances (122 minutes), he has provided 1 assist, taken 2 shots, delivered 75 passes at an impressive 89% accuracy and created 3 key passes. Defensively, he has contributed 3 tackles, 2 blocks and 2 interceptions, while winning 6 of 14 duels. The battle between Udogie’s aggressive defending and Hackney’s ability to progress the ball and find runners could be decisive, especially down Tottenham’s left channel where Everton will look to overload and exploit Spurs’ defensive frailties.

B. Johnson vs Tottenham back line

On the Everton side, B. Johnson is another influential figure highlighted by the disciplinary stats. The attacker has played 3 matches (100 minutes), registering 1 shot, 22 passes with 2 key passes, and contributing defensively with 2 tackles, 1 block and 2 interceptions. He has also committed 4 fouls and received 1 yellow card, suggesting he presses aggressively and is heavily involved in physical duels (12 contested, 3 won).

For Tottenham, the defensive unit has struggled collectively, conceding 5 goals in 3 games and averaging 1.7 goals against per match. With no standout scorer to relieve pressure, Spurs’ back line — including figures like D. Udogie and centre-backs such as M. Senesi or J. van Hecke from the squad list — will need to handle Johnson’s movement between the lines and his willingness to press and harry. If Everton can use Johnson’s energy to disrupt Spurs’ build-up, it may tilt territorial control in the visitors’ favour.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head clashes in the Premier League have largely favoured Tottenham, particularly in London, although Everton have shown they can compete at Goodison Park. Here are the most recent encounters:

• 24 May 2026: Tottenham 1-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 26 October 2025: Everton 0-3 Tottenham (Premier League)
• 19 January 2025: Everton 3-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
• 24 August 2024: Tottenham 4-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 3 February 2024: Everton 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)

Tottenham vs Everton Prediction

All the early-season indicators point to Everton being in a stronger place than Tottenham. Spurs’ league form reads DLL, with no wins and no goals scored in 3 matches, and their broader 2026 statistics confirm an attack that has failed to fire. Everton’s WDD start, combined with 5 goals scored and only 3 conceded, suggests a side with a functioning structure at both ends of the pitch.

However, the prediction metrics present a nuanced picture. The win probabilities are split at 10% for a Tottenham win, 45% for a draw and 45% for an Everton victory. That implies the most likely outcomes are either a stalemate or a narrow away success. The comparison indices also heavily favour Everton in form, attack and defence, while Tottenham’s historical dominance at home in this fixture tempers expectations of a straightforward away win.

Given Spurs’ inability to score so far and Everton’s solid but not explosive attack, a low-scoring contest looks likely. With the goal thresholds in the prediction data set as under 3.5 and Everton marginally favoured as winner, a tight draw or a slender away victory stands out. Factoring in Tottenham’s strong home H2H record, a cautious call leans towards a share of the points.

Predicted Score: Tottenham 1-1 Everton

Tottenham Recent Form

Tottenham’s recent Premier League form is poor, with a sequence of one draw and two defeats in their opening three matches. They have not yet scored, averaging 0.0 goals for per game, while conceding 5 in total at a rate of 1.7 per match. Their fixtures record shows 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with a clean sheet in one away game but failure to score in all three outings. Overall, the trend is of a side struggling badly in attack and under pressure defensively.

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s early-season form is encouraging. Their Premier League run reads one win followed by two draws, leaving them unbeaten after three games. They have scored 5 goals (1.7 per match) and conceded 3 (1.0 per match), with one clean sheet and no games in which they have failed to score. The underlying indicators — a positive goal difference and a balanced WDD record — suggest consistency and resilience, even if they are not yet blowing teams away.

Tottenham Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups for this fixture, a projected Tottenham selection must be built around key squad members who fit their usual 4-2-3-1 structure, which has been used in all three 2026 league games:

GK: B. Austin or M. Dúbravka; Defenders: Pedro Porro, M. Senesi, J. van Hecke, D. Udogie; Midfielders: R. Bentancur, S. Tonali, J. Maddison, X. Simons, M. Mudryk; Forwards: Richarlison or D. Solanke.

Tottenham’s 2026 statistics confirm a 4-2-3-1 as their go-to shape, suggesting a double pivot in midfield with creative players like J. Maddison and X. Simons operating ahead. Wide options such as M. Mudryk and potentially Omar Marmoush or Sávio could provide pace and width, while Richarlison or D. Solanke lead the line. The main tactical question is whether Spurs can convert possession and territory into chances, given their current tally of 0 goals and 3 matches without scoring.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

Everton have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 across their three 2026 Premier League games, and a likely XI would be built from their core squad:

GK: J. Pickford; Defenders: J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, M. Keane or Elijah Xavier Campbell; Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, C. Nørgaard, H. Hackney, J. Grealish; Forwards: B. Johnson or T. Barry.

With creative influence from H. Hackney in midfield and the work rate of B. Johnson in advanced areas, Everton’s 4-2-3-1 offers both control and counter-attacking threat. Their 2026 stats — 5 goals scored, 0 matches without scoring — indicate a system that reliably creates chances. The back line, anchored by J. Tarkowski and J. Branthwaite, has conceded just 3 goals in 3 matches, giving them a sturdy base from which to attack a misfiring Tottenham side.

Tottenham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham:

• None reported.

Everton:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Tottenham vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on current stats, prediction probabilities and available odds:

• Result Tip: Draw The win probabilities are split at 10% for Tottenham, 45% for the draw and 45% for Everton. The market, however, makes Tottenham favourites at home, with home odds ranging from 1.95 to 2.05 (implied probability roughly 48.8% to 51.3%), while Everton are priced between 3.60 and 3.86 (implied around 25.9% to 27.8%). Given Spurs’ dreadful start and Everton’s unbeaten WDD form, the statistical edge towards a draw at odds around 3.40–3.71 (implied 26.9% to 29.4%) looks a sensible compromise between model probabilities and market pricing.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals Tottenham have yet to score in 3 matches, while Everton average 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against per game. The prediction advice explicitly leans to “Everton and under 3.5 goals”, signalling an expectation of a relatively low-scoring contest. With Spurs’ attack misfiring and Everton unlikely to overcommit away from home, backing a goals line such as under 3.5 aligns with both recent form and the under/over patterns (Tottenham have been under 3.5 in all three of their matches; Everton have also not been involved in a high-scoring shootout yet).
• Value Tip: Everton double chance (Everton or Draw) Everton are unbeaten (WDD) and have scored in every match, while Tottenham are winless and goalless. Disciplinary and involvement stats highlight players like H. Hackney and B. Johnson as active contributors in midfield and attack, suggesting Everton have multiple routes to create chances. With the away win priced in the 3.60–3.86 range and the model giving Everton a 45% chance of victory, taking Everton on the double chance (avoiding a Spurs win) offers a pragmatic, lower-risk angle that leans into Everton’s form and Tottenham’s struggles, while still likely being available at a backable price above the shortest home odds.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.