Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun meet at Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb on 28 July 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. After a 1-1 draw in Switzerland at Stockhorn Arena on 21 July 2026, everything is finely poised ahead of this decisive return match.

With no aggregate advantage for either side, this is effectively a one-off shootout for progression to the next qualifying round. Both clubs are looking to extend their European campaigns and secure valuable prize money and coefficient points, and the balanced first leg suggests another tight contest in Zagreb.

Stats suggest there is little to separate the teams so far in this Champions League campaign, and neutral observers can expect a cagey, tactical battle where small details – set-pieces, substitutions, and discipline – could decide who moves on.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Stats

• Both Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun have drawn their only UEFA Champions League match this season, with identical records of 1-1 on goals scored and conceded.
• The only previous meeting between the sides came on 21 July 2026 in Thun and finished FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
• In this Champions League campaign, Dinamo Zagreb’s goals have come exclusively in the 76–90 minute window, while FC Thun’s single goal arrived in the 16–30 minute period, underlining contrasting phases of attacking threat.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 1 vs 1 (current Champions League campaign)
• Goals Against: 1 vs 1 (current Champions League campaign)
• Clean Sheets: Dinamo Zagreb 0, FC Thun 0 in this Champions League season

Standings data for the qualifying rounds is not provided, but the fixture history and team statistics point to a perfectly balanced tie. Both clubs have played one Champions League match in this campaign – the 1-1 first leg – and share identical records: no wins, one draw, no defeats, with one goal scored and one conceded.

Dinamo Zagreb have yet to play at home in this qualifying campaign, while FC Thun have only featured at home so far. Dinamo’s preferred 4-2-3-1 setup and Thun’s 4-4-2 shape, each used once in this competition, suggest a classic clash between a possession-oriented side and a more structured, two-striker system. With neither team keeping a clean sheet yet and both averaging 1.0 goal for and against per match, another narrow, low-scoring encounter looks likely.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Matchups

F. Topić vs FC Thun Defensive Unit

With no top scorers list available, the standout individual statistic comes from Dinamo Zagreb’s assist chart. Fran Topić has registered 1 assist in just 10 minutes of Champions League action, coming off the bench once and contributing directly to Dinamo’s only goal so far. His cameo included 5 completed passes at 80% accuracy, 1 key pass, and 1 duel won from 1 contested, underlining his efficiency in a limited sample.

Topić’s creativity and impact as an attacking substitute could be crucial against an FC Thun back line that has conceded once in their only match and has yet to keep a clean sheet. If the game is tight late on, his ability to unlock defenses in the final third could tilt the balance in Dinamo’s favour, especially given Dinamo’s tendency to score in the last 15 minutes.

Midfield Battle: Dinamo’s 4-2-3-1 vs Thun’s 4-4-2

Without individual scoring data for FC Thun, the key tactical matchup lies in midfield. Dinamo Zagreb’s 4-2-3-1 formation, used in their sole Champions League outing, typically relies on a double pivot to control possession and protect the back four, while the advanced midfield line supports a lone striker. FC Thun’s 4-4-2 offers more direct central presence with two forwards but can be outnumbered between the lines if Dinamo’s attacking midfielders find space.

Both sides have averaged 1.0 goal for and against, so the midfield’s ability to limit transitions and second balls will be decisive. If Dinamo can use their extra man between the lines to stretch Thun’s flat midfield four, they may generate the better chances; conversely, Thun’s two strikers can trouble Dinamo on quick breaks, particularly given Dinamo conceded in the 16–30 minute window in the first leg.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The European history between these clubs is extremely limited, with just one prior encounter – the first leg of this tie – to draw on. That match in Switzerland offered a balanced picture, with each side enjoying periods of control and ultimately sharing the spoils.

• 21 July 2026: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb (UEFA Champions League)

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction

Everything points towards another tight, hard-fought contest in Zagreb. Both teams come into the second leg with identical records in this Champions League campaign, and the prediction model rates the outcome as almost perfectly balanced: Dinamo Zagreb have a 33% chance of winning in regulation time, the draw is also at 33%, and FC Thun are likewise given a 33% chance.

Dinamo’s home advantage at Stadion Maksimir and their late-scoring tendency suggest they may grow stronger as the match progresses, while FC Thun’s earlier scoring window indicates they can start quickly and put the hosts under pressure. With neither side showing a clear edge in attack or defense so far, extra time or even penalties cannot be ruled out if the match follows the pattern of the first leg.

Predicted Score: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 FC Thun

Dinamo Zagreb Recent Form

In this Champions League campaign, Dinamo Zagreb have played 1 match and drawn it, scoring 1 goal and conceding 1. Their only outing was away from home, where they came from behind to level late on, underlining resilience and an ability to respond under pressure. They have not kept a clean sheet but have also avoided defeat, suggesting a solid if unspectacular start to European qualifying.

FC Thun Recent Form

FC Thun mirror Dinamo’s Champions League record: 1 match played, 1 draw, 1 goal scored and 1 conceded, all at home. They took an early lead in the first leg before being pegged back late on, indicating they can be dangerous in the opening half-hour but may struggle to close out games. Like Dinamo, they are unbeaten but yet to record a clean sheet in this campaign.

Dinamo Zagreb Possible Starting Lineup

With no official lineups from the first leg, a precise XI cannot be confirmed, but Dinamo Zagreb have used a 4-2-3-1 system in this Champions League campaign. Key options include:

Goalkeepers: I. Filipović, I. Nevistić, D. Zagorac
Defenders: B. Goda, S. McKenna, S. Radeljić, K. Théophile-Catherine, Raúl Torrente, Paul Bismarck Tabinas, Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
Midfielders: J. Mišić, M. Zajc, R. Mudražija, G. Vidović, L. Kačavenda, Lovre Kulušić
Forwards/Attacking options: M. Bakrar, D. Beljo, M. Oršić, F. Topić, L. Stojković, Cardoso Varela

Dinamo are likely to retain their 4-2-3-1 structure, using experienced midfielders such as J. Mišić and M. Zajc to control tempo, with pace and creativity in the wide and central attacking roles. Fran Topić’s productive cameo in limited minutes makes him a strong candidate either to start or to feature again as an impact substitute, especially if the match is level heading into the final stages.

FC Thun Possible Starting Lineup

FC Thun have favoured a 4-4-2 formation in their only Champions League outing so far. Likely options include:

Goalkeepers: N. Steffen, T. Spycher
Defenders: N. Bürgy, J. Bamert, M. Bürki, Genís Montolio, A. Balaruban, L. Dähler, F. Fehr
Midfielders: M. Käit, J. Roth, N. Reichmuth, N. Zoukit, V. Matoshi, N. Maier, D. Derbaci
Forwards: B. Labeau, C. Ibayi, L. Stewart, M. Gutbub, F. Dursun

Thun’s 4-4-2 offers a solid defensive block with two banks of four, supported by mobile forwards like B. Labeau or C. Ibayi. Their structure is well-suited to counter-attacking away from home, and with their yellow cards clustered in the 61–75 and 91–105 minute windows, maintaining discipline in the latter stages will be crucial to avoid giving Dinamo cheap set-piece opportunities.

Dinamo Zagreb Team News

No significant absences reported.

FC Thun Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Dinamo Zagreb:

• None reported.

FC Thun:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

Based on current Champions League statistics and the prediction probabilities, here are three betting angles to consider:

• Result Tip: Back the draw in 90 minutes. Both sides have identical records (1 draw from 1 match, 1 goal scored and conceded) and the win probabilities are evenly split at 33% for Dinamo, 33% for the draw, and 33% for FC Thun. With no clear favourite and a balanced first leg, the stalemate offers a logical result angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Each team averages 1.0 goal for and 1.0 against across just one Champions League match, and the first leg finished 1-1. Both sides have seen their matches land under 2.5 goals in this campaign, pointing towards another low-scoring, tightly contested encounter.
• Value Tip: Dinamo Zagreb to score in the second half. Dinamo’s only goal in this Champions League season came in the 76–90 minute window, highlighting their late threat, while FC Thun conceded in that same late period. A market focusing on Dinamo scoring after the interval could offer value given these timing trends and Dinamo’s likely territorial advantage at home.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.