Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë meet in Celje on 28 July 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. After a chaotic 3-3 draw in Albania at Demrozi Stadium on 22 July 2026, this return fixture is perfectly poised with everything to play for.

The first leg showed both sides’ attacking intent and defensive fragility, with Celje recovering from early setbacks and Egnatia Rrogozhinë continuing their prolific start to the campaign. With away goals no longer a factor in UEFA competitions, this match is effectively a one-off shootout for a place in the next qualifying round.

Stats suggest Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive in better overall form in this Champions League qualifier, but Celje now have home advantage in Celje and know another high-scoring encounter could tilt either way. Expect a tense, open contest with qualification and valuable European momentum at stake.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

• Celje have played 1 Champions League match this season, drawing 3-3 away and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game.
• The only recent head-to-head meeting came on 22 July 2026, when Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Celje drew 3-3 in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round at Demrozi Stadium.
• Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored 10 goals in 3 Champions League fixtures this season, averaging 3.3 goals per match but conceding 1.7 per game.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 3 (Celje, 1 match) vs 10 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 3 matches)
• Goals Against: 3 (Celje) vs 5 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
• Clean Sheets: Celje 0; Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 in Champions League statistics

With no group-stage standings table available yet for this round, the best guide is early tournament statistics. Celje have played just once, that 3-3 away draw, so their numbers are heavily shaped by a single high-variance game. They have yet to win but also remain unbeaten.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë, by contrast, already have three Champions League matches under their belt this season, with a record of 1 win and 2 draws and no defeats. They have been explosive at home, scoring 9 goals in 2 home games (average 4.5), but more restrained away with 1 goal in 1 match. Both sides are yet to keep a clean sheet, underlining how likely it is that this tie will again be decided by attacking quality rather than defensive solidity.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attack vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë defence

Celje’s attacking unit has started the Champions League campaign strongly, scoring 3 goals in their only match so far, away from home. Their tournament statistics show they have not failed to score yet, and they created chances throughout the first leg, striking in three separate 15-minute windows (31–45, 46–60, 61–75). That spread suggests they can threaten across the full 90 minutes.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defence, however, has been vulnerable. They have conceded 5 goals in 3 matches, an average of 1.7 per game, with goals allowed in multiple time bands, especially between 31–45 and 61–75 minutes. They have also picked up a red card in the 46–60 minute window in this Champions League campaign, hinting at occasional lapses in discipline that could open the door for Celje again.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack vs Celje defence

The most decisive battle may be Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s potent attack against a Celje back line that conceded 3 in its only outing. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have already hit double figures in goals (10 in 3 matches), with a particularly strong record at home but still averaging 1.0 goal in their single away fixture. Their scoring is well distributed across the match, with a significant share coming late (3 goals in the 76–90 window), indicating they can finish games strongly.

Celje’s defence, by contrast, has conceded 3 goals in 1 match, including an early goal in the 0–15 minute period and further strikes in the 46–60 and 76–90 windows. That pattern suggests they can be caught cold at the start and again around the hour and late on. With Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s last-five attacking index at 67 compared to Celje’s 20, the Albanian side look more likely to sustain pressure and find scoring opportunities throughout.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent head-to-head history between these sides is short but dramatic, with a single high-scoring draw setting the tone for this second leg.

• 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

All available indicators point to another open, attacking contest. Celje showed in the first leg that they can go toe-to-toe with Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s attack, scoring three times away and never looking out of the tie. Their last-five metrics show balanced output (3 scored, 3 conceded), but the comparison model rates their overall form and attacking indices significantly lower than Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

The prediction model gives Celje only a 10% chance of winning in 90 minutes, with a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for an Egnatia Rrogozhinë victory. That effectively makes the Albanian champions slight favourites to progress, but with a huge emphasis on the draw and “win or draw” outcome for the visitors. Given both teams’ lack of clean sheets and Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s tendency to score heavily while also conceding, another high-scoring draw or narrow away win looks most plausible.

Predicted Score: Celje 1-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

Celje’s recent Champions League form is limited to a single match, that 3-3 away draw in Albania. Qualitatively, they can be described as competitive but defensively fragile: they showed resilience to score three times on the road but also allowed three goals and an early strike in the opening 15 minutes. Their last-five index shows modest overall form (33 in the form metric) but a strong attacking average of 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game, underlining the high-risk, high-reward nature of their current style.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s recent Champions League form reads as unbeaten over three matches, with a sequence of draw–win–draw (DWD). Their last-five form index stands at 56, with an attacking index of 67 and defensive index of 67, reflecting a side that is generally on top in both boxes. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 5 across these 3 fixtures, averaging 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, and have yet to fail to score. This suggests a team in confident, expansive form heading into the second leg.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Celje (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: Ž. Frelih, L. Kolar, Žan-Luk Leban, S. Sluga.
Defenders: Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koútris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliš evič, I. Ćalušić.
Midfielders: M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek, V. Tusha.
Forwards: A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik, D. Suhovrsnik.

Celje have a deep squad with multiple options in each line, including several experienced defenders such as David Castro and L. Koútris, and attacking options like A. Kotnik and M. Poplatnik. Their Champions League statistics show a preference for a 4-4-2 formation, used in their only match so far. Expect a similar shape at home, with two forwards and wide midfielders asked to support both phases. With no confirmed absences, the coach can rotate between experience and youth, but must find a better defensive balance after conceding three away.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: D. Afful, M. Dajsinani, B. Puja, L. Tandilashvili.
Defenders: N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota, A. Xhemajli.
Midfielders: Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda, K. Loukili.
Forwards: D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro, Afonso Rodrigues.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have alternated between a 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 in their three Champions League fixtures, pointing to a flexible back-three system with wing-backs. With strong attacking returns (10 goals), forwards like S. Bakayoko, J. Montenegro and Afonso Rodrigues are likely to be central, supported by creative midfielders such as Fernando Medeiros or A. Aleksi. The tactical focus should again be on exploiting transitions and wide areas, but they must tighten up defensively after conceding 5 in 3 matches and allowing Celje three times in the first leg.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

• None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Based on current probabilities, recent form and tournament statistics, here are three betting angles to consider:

• Result Tip: Back Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No Bet or Double Chance (Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw). The prediction model gives Celje only a 10% chance to win in 90 minutes, with Egnatia Rrogozhinë and the draw both at 45%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are unbeaten in 3 Champions League matches (1 win, 2 draws) and have the stronger last-five form index.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. The advice indicator already points to “+2.5 goals”, and the first leg finished 3-3. Celje average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game in this campaign, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë average 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Both teams are yet to keep a clean sheet, making another high-scoring game likely.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS). Celje have not failed to score in their only Champions League outing, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored in all 3 matches so far. With Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s attack rated far higher in the comparison indices (attack 77 vs Celje’s 23) but their defence still conceding regularly, BTTS offers a logical value angle in what should be an open tie.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.