Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Vancouver FC welcome Supra du Quebec to Willoughby Community Park Stadium on 6 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could shape the mid-table battle. With both sides separated by just five points, this fixture has clear implications for playoff positioning and momentum heading into the run-in.

The hosts sit 4th with 27 points from 20 matches, boasting a positive goal difference and a solid home record. Supra du Quebec, 5th on 22 points from 19 games, have been more explosive in attack but leaky at the back, leaving them chasing Vancouver FC in the standings. For bettors and fans looking for Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction and betting tips, this matchup offers a classic contrast between defensive stability and attacking volatility.

Recent head-to-head history adds extra intrigue: Vancouver FC have already taken four points from Supra this season, including a statement 5-1 away win in July. With both teams still firmly in the playoff conversation, this is a pivotal night in the Canadian Premier League calendar.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Vancouver FC are 4th with 27 points from 20 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses), scoring 26 and conceding 23.
• In the most recent meeting on 17 July 2026, Vancouver FC beat Supra du Quebec 5-1 away in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
• Season statistics show Vancouver FC averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 5
• Points: 27 vs 22
• Goals For: 26 vs 27
• Goals Against: 23 vs 33
• Clean Sheets: Vancouver FC 3 (tournament statistics) vs Supra du Quebec 1 (tournament statistics)

On raw standings, Vancouver FC hold the edge: more points, better goal difference (+3 vs -6) and a tighter defence. Across 20 matches, they have conceded just 23 goals, an average of 1.2 per game, and have kept 3 clean sheets in tournament play. Their home record is also respectable, with 5 wins from 10 and only 9 goals conceded at Willoughby Community Park Stadium.

Supra du Quebec, meanwhile, are one game behind but trail by five points. They have scored slightly more (27 goals) but conceded a worrying 33 in 19 matches, an average of 1.7 per game. Away from home, they are competitive in attack (16 goals in 9 games, 1.8 per match) but vulnerable defensively with 18 conceded. The numbers point to a matchup where Vancouver’s structure and home advantage face off against Supra’s higher-risk, higher-reward style.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

T. Campbell vs L. Kwemi

Vancouver FC forward Terran Campbell has been an important attacking piece, with 4 goals in 20 appearances despite starting only 11 times and logging 428 minutes. His efficiency — 4 goals from 12 shots, with 4 on target — shows he does not need many chances to make an impact. He also contributes creatively with 5 key passes and solid link-up play (73% pass accuracy).

On the other side, Supra du Quebec’s Loïc Adrien Kwemi is their primary goal threat. With 5 goals in 17 appearances and 14 starts, he leads his side’s scoring charts. Kwemi has 18 shots and 11 on target, plus 37 dribble attempts with 18 successful, underlining his ability to carry the ball and create danger. His 7 key passes and 82% passing accuracy suggest he can both finish and facilitate. The duel between Campbell’s penalty-box presence and Kwemi’s all-round attacking profile will go a long way to deciding who wins the goals battle.

M. Polisi vs D. Choinière

In midfield, Vancouver FC’s Marcello Polisi is a key stabiliser. He has made 16 appearances, all starts, contributing 1 assist and offering balance with 282 passes at 84% accuracy. Defensively, 15 tackles and 4 interceptions show his ability to break up play, while 6 yellow cards underline how combative he is in the centre of the park.

For Supra du Quebec, David Choinière is a creative hub. Across 18 appearances (14 starts), he has delivered 3 assists, 15 key passes and 239 total passes at 86% accuracy. He also carries a goal threat with 10 shots and 6 on target. If Choinière can find space between Vancouver’s lines and escape Polisi’s attention, Supra’s attack becomes far more dangerous. Conversely, if Polisi can disrupt Choinière’s rhythm, Vancouver FC will tilt the midfield battle in their favour.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already met twice in the 2026 Canadian Premier League Group Stage, producing goals and drama. Recent results favour Vancouver FC, especially in terms of scoring output.

• 17 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-5 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 23 May 2026: Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest with a slight tilt towards the hosts. The prediction model gives Vancouver FC a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Supra du Quebec at just 10%. That aligns with Vancouver’s stronger defensive record and home advantage, as well as their dominant 5-1 away win in July.

Supra du Quebec’s attacking numbers, especially away from home, indicate they can score here — they average 1.8 goals per away match and have multiple creative outlets in L. Kwemi, Sean Rea and David Choinière. However, their defensive fragility (33 goals conceded in 19 games, only 1 clean sheet) makes it difficult to trust them to keep Vancouver quiet, particularly given Vancouver’s 4 goals in the last two H2H encounters.

With goals expected at both ends but Vancouver FC better placed to manage the key moments, a tight home win or a draw looks the most plausible outcome. Given the strong draw probability, a cautious predicted scoreline leans towards a low-scoring Vancouver edge.

Predicted Score: Vancouver FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Vancouver FC Recent Form

Vancouver FC’s recent Group Stage form line reads LLLDW, reflecting an inconsistent spell. Over 20 matches, they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats, but their defensive numbers remain respectable at 1.2 goals conceded per game. At home, 5 wins from 10 and only 9 goals allowed show that Willoughby Community Park Stadium is a relatively solid base, even if results have fluctuated.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent Group Stage form is WDLLD, another mixed run. Across 19 matches they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. Their attack has been lively (27 goals, 1.4 per match), but a porous defence — 33 conceded, 1.7 per game — has held them back. Away from home, they are capable of scoring in bunches (16 goals in 9), yet they rarely keep things tight at the back.

Vancouver FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: C. Irving; Defenders: M. Doner, Thomas Geoffrey Field, M. Campagna, P. Gee; Midfielders: M. Polisi, N. Mezquida, T. Powell, L. Toomey; Forwards: T. Campbell, L. Mousset.

Vancouver FC have a well-balanced squad with experienced defensive options like Thomas Geoffrey Field and M. Doner, plus a solid goalkeeper in C. Irving. In midfield, M. Polisi provides control and bite, while N. Mezquida can offer creativity. Up front, the combination of L. Mousset and T. Campbell gives a blend of movement and finishing ability. Tactically, their frequent use of a 4-2-3-1 in tournament statistics suggests a structured approach with two screening midfielders and width from the flanks.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK: [not specified]; Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien; Midfielders: Alessandro Biello, A. Sissoko, D. Choinière, S. Rea; Forwards: L. Kwemi, I. Conde, S. Mlah.

While full squad data is not available, Supra du Quebec’s key players indicate a side built around dynamic wide defenders and a technically strong midfield. D. Abzi and C. Auguste provide energy and passing from the back, while Alessandro Biello and A. Sissoko add defensive work and distribution in midfield. Further forward, D. Choinière and S. Rea are primary creators, feeding an attacking line led by L. Kwemi with support from I. Conde and S. Mlah. Expect a proactive, attack-minded setup, albeit one that can leave spaces defensively.

Vancouver FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Vancouver FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out based on the available statistics and prediction probabilities.

• Result Tip: Back Vancouver FC Draw No Bet. With a 45% win probability for Vancouver FC and 45% for the draw, plus strong H2H results (5-1 away win and a 1-1 home draw), the home side look safer than Supra du Quebec, who are rated at just 10% to win. Draw No Bet protects against the high draw likelihood while siding with the stronger defensive unit.
• Goals Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Vancouver FC average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. Both previous meetings this season saw goals for both sides (5-1 and 1-1). Supra’s away attack (1.8 goals per game) against Vancouver’s solid but not impenetrable defence makes BTTS a logical play.
• Value Tip: L. Kwemi to Score Anytime. Supra du Quebec’s top scorer has 5 goals in 17 appearances, plus 2 penalties scored, and is central to their attacking output with 11 shots on target and 37 dribble attempts. Even if Vancouver FC are favoured overall, Supra’s strong away scoring record and Kwemi’s role as focal point offer potential value in the goalscorer market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.