Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome Canadian Premier League leaders Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 28 August 2026 in a Group Stage clash that pitches a struggling expansion side against the division’s benchmark team. With the hosts sitting in the lower half and Forge clear at the top, this fixture has the feel of a classic underdog vs favourite storyline.

After 18 matches, Supra du Quebec are trying to claw their way back into playoff contention, while Forge are focused on consolidating first place and maintaining momentum heading into the business end of the campaign. Recent meetings have all gone the way of Forge, adding extra edge for the home side, who will be desperate to finally take points off the Hamilton club in front of their own fans.

Stats suggest a contrast in styles: Supra du Quebec’s matches tend to be open, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded, whereas Forge combine a solid defence with efficient attacking output. That dynamic should shape the match flow and is central to any Supra du Quebec vs Forge prediction and betting analysis for this Canadian Premier League showdown.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

• Supra du Quebec are 6th with 19 points from 18 matches, having lost 9 times and holding a -7 goal difference (26 scored, 33 conceded).
• Forge have won all three meetings this season: 3-2 (19 August 2026), 2-1 (5 July 2026), and 1-0 (13 May 2026) in Canadian Premier League action.
• Season statistics show Supra du Quebec average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Forge average 1.6 scored and only 0.7 conceded across 18 games.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 1
• Points: 19 vs 41
• Goals For: 26 vs 29
• Goals Against: 33 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0; Forge 9 (season statistics)

In the standings, this is a meeting between a mid-to-lower table side and the league leaders. Supra du Quebec’s 5 wins and 4 draws from 18 matches underline an inconsistent first campaign, with a negative goal difference driven by 33 goals conceded. At home, they have just 2 wins from 9, with 10 goals scored and 15 allowed.

Forge, by contrast, have been relentlessly efficient. They sit top with 41 points, built on 13 wins and only 3 defeats in 18 games. Their defensive record is outstanding: just 13 goals conceded, and 9 clean sheets in total, including 6 at home and 3 away. They travel well too, with 6 wins from 9 away fixtures and a +8 away goal difference (16 for, 8 against). The gap in defensive solidity is the clearest separator between these teams.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

L. Kwemi vs D. Nimick

Loïc Adrien L. Kwemi is Supra du Quebec’s standout attacking threat. Across 15 appearances (12 starts), he has scored 4 goals, with 9 of his 12 shots on target and a strong 7.08 rating. He also converts penalties reliably, scoring 2 from the spot, and contributes with 122 passes at 80% accuracy plus 31 dribble attempts, 15 successful.

He will run into one of the league’s form defenders in Daniel D. Nimick. The Forge centre-back has started all 16 of his appearances, logging 720 minutes with a 7.48 rating. He offers a set-piece threat with 3 goals and has completed 388 passes at 89% accuracy, alongside 8 tackles, 4 blocks and 8 interceptions. With 18 duels won from 26, his aerial and physical presence will be crucial in limiting Kwemi’s influence in and around the box.

S. Rea vs T. Borges

For creativity, Supra du Quebec lean heavily on Sean S. Rea. In 15 appearances (14 starts), Rea has 1 goal and 2 assists, but more importantly 22 key passes from 327 total passes at 86% accuracy, underlining his role as primary playmaker. He also attempts 20 dribbles with 9 successes and draws 9 fouls, helping Supra progress the ball between the lines.

Forge have their own creative hub in Tristan T. Borges. With 18 appearances and 16 starts, he has produced 3 assists and 1 goal, supported by 17 key passes from 157 total passes at 80% accuracy. Borges is also active defensively, with 13 tackles and 6 interceptions, and draws 10 fouls. The battle of these two advanced midfielders in the half-spaces will go a long way to determining which side controls the tempo and chance creation.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already built up a fierce mini-rivalry this season, with Forge taking maximum points in all three clashes. The margins have often been tight, but the leaders have repeatedly found a way to edge Supra du Quebec.

• 19 August 2026: Forge 3-2 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 5 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge (Canadian Premier League)
• 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

Form indicators and head-to-head history point strongly towards Forge. The prediction model assigns only a 10% chance to a Supra du Quebec win, with 45% each for a draw and a Forge victory. That effectively frames this as a “Forge or draw” scenario, reflected in the advice of a double-chance on the visitors.

Supra du Quebec do carry attacking threat, averaging 1.4 goals per game and having scored twice away at Tim Hortons Field in the most recent meeting. However, they concede 1.8 per match, and a significant share of those goals arrive late, particularly between minutes 76–90, which is dangerous against a side as fit and ruthless as Forge.

Forge, meanwhile, combine a strong attack (1.6 goals per game) with the league’s best defence (0.7 conceded per match) and 9 clean sheets. They also tend to grow into games, with a large portion of their goals coming after the interval. Expect them to absorb early pressure, then gradually impose their structure and quality, especially through midfielders like Borges and defenders like Nimick stepping into play.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent league form reads DLLDW, underlining their inconsistency. They have just one win in their last five, with three defeats in that run. Defensively they remain vulnerable, having conceded 33 goals in 18 matches, and they have yet to keep a single clean sheet this season, both home and away.

Forge Recent Form

Forge come into this fixture in strong shape, with a recent form line of WWLLD. Even with a couple of setbacks, their broader league form is excellent: 13 wins from 18, just 3 losses, and a goal difference of +16. Their defensive record has been particularly impressive, with only 13 goals conceded and 9 clean sheets, making them the most reliable side in the competition.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Full squad data for Supra du Quebec is not available, but key players likely to feature include creative midfielder Sean Rea, attacker L. Kwemi, versatile forward I. Conde, and midfielders such as Safwane S. Mlah and Alessandro Biello, alongside defensive figures like D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien and A. Sissoko.

Based on season statistics, Supra du Quebec have frequently used a 4-2-3-1 shape, with occasional switches to 5-3-2, 4-1-4-1 and 4-4-2. Rea should operate as the main playmaker, with Kwemi leading the line and wide support from players like Conde. Biello and Sissoko provide work rate and ball progression in midfield, while Abzi and Auguste offer width from full-back. The lack of clean sheets suggests they may opt for a slightly more conservative back line, but at home they are still likely to commit numbers forward.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

Forge’s squad list includes goalkeepers D. Bertaud and D. Bontis; defenders such as M. Jevremović, D. Krutzen, D. Nimick, R. Rama, N. Bickford, M. Bourgeois, Z. Bruno and B. Paton; midfielders K. Bekker, A. Batisse, A. Aromatario, N. Jensen, K. Lipovschek, M. Sadek and T. Borges; and attackers Molham Babouli, N. Ampomah, M. Filion, L. Johnson, H. Massunda, I. Oketokoun, K. Tavernier and B. Wright.

Tactically, Forge have alternated between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, with one outing in a 3-4-2-1. Expect a back four anchored by Nimick and Jevremović, with Rama and another full-back providing width. Bekker and Aromatario can control central areas, while Borges operates as the creative hub. Up front, options like Babouli, Wright and Ampomah give a blend of movement, physicality and pace. Their balance between defensive security and attacking threat is a major reason for their position at the top.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Forge:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Forge in the double-chance (Forge or Draw). The prediction model gives Supra du Quebec only a 10% chance of victory, with 45% for a draw and 45% for a Forge win. Forge have also won all three head-to-heads this season and boast the best defensive record in the league, making them the logical side to side with in the primary result market.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Supra du Quebec matches average 3.1 goals per game (26 scored, 33 conceded in 18), while Forge average 2.3 (29 scored, 13 conceded). All three previous meetings this season have produced at least two goals (3-2, 2-1, 1-0). The combination of Supra’s leaky defence and Forge’s efficient attack supports a goals-based angle above the lowest line.
• Value Tip: Consider a Forge win by exactly one goal in a correct-score or handicap-related market. Two of the three head-to-heads have been decided by a single goal (2-1 twice), and the model rates draw and away win equally at 45%, implying a tight contest despite Forge’s superiority. With Forge’s strong defence and Supra’s ability to score, a 2-1 or 1-0 away win offers potential value for bettors looking beyond the main match odds.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.