Ranking Premier League Managers by Their Likelihood of Being Sacked

The Premier League's 20 managers have been assessed based on how likely they are to lose their jobs next. As the season enters its fourth week, the cycle of managerial changes seems ready to start turning again.

While a few clubs showed stability last season, many opted for new leadership. Half of this season's managers either joined different clubs or are fresh to England's top flight. The environment is unforgiving; even high-profile names like Ruben Amorim and Thomas Frank lost their roles last season at Manchester United and Tottenham respectively.

This piece evaluates each Premier League manager's job security, considering factors such as team results, expectations from club leadership, fan sentiment, and media scrutiny. It covers managers fighting relegation and those chasing titles, examining what might threaten their tenure.

Criteria for Ranking

• Premier League performance overall
• Success in other competitions like FA Cup, League Cup, Champions League
• Recent team form
• Expectations from club management
• Manager’s legacy with the club
• Support from fans

Manager Rankings

• Mikel Arteta, ArsenalLast season finish: 1stAfter finishing second three times consecutively, Arsenal finally won the league, ending a 22-year wait. Arteta appears to have the tools to push further after near success in the Champions League and League Cup. Arsenal’s board shows ambition, eyeing players like Vinicius Jr. An unbeaten start boosts his position, making Arsenal clear favorites for consecutive titles.
• Keith Andrews, BrentfordLast season finish: 9thTaking over from Thomas Frank was daunting, but Andrews, previously Frank’s set-piece coach, has settled well. Despite lacking experience climbing through lower leagues, he led Brentford to ninth place and starts this season unbeaten in four games. His role looks secure as Brentford sits comfortably in the top ten.
• Enzo Maresca, Manchester CityLast season finish: 2ndMaresca won two trophies during his Chelsea stint and now leads Manchester City after Pep Guardiola. The club expects continued dominance and has given him time and resources. City has won all matches except a Community Shield loss and a key derby victory at Old Trafford, suggesting little drop-off.
• Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton & Hove AlbionLast season finish: 8thReplacing Roberto De Zerbi was challenging, but Hurzeler, the youngest permanent Premier League manager ever, has impressed. After a heavy defeat to Nottingham Forest in 2025, Brighton recovered to finish eighth again. They have started this season well, aiming once more for European qualification.
• Regis Le Bris, SunderlandLast season finish: 7thSunderland took a chance on the inexperienced French coach. Following promotion and Europa Conference League qualification, Le Bris enjoys strong backing. Though managing an additional competition is untested, the club’s support and squad depth provide him security.
• Xabi Alonso, ChelseaLast season finish: 10thChelsea has had six managers since the ownership change in 2022. Alonso’s experience at Bayer Leverkusen is promising, but interference from the American owner complicates things. Early results hint at title potential if defensive issues are resolved quickly.
• Matthias Jaissle, Newcastle UnitedLast season finish: 12thA disciple of Rangnick who admires Klopp and Guardiola, Jaissle inherited a low-performing team. Several key players left, but Newcastle began the season well with draws against Liverpool and Bournemouth and a win over Tottenham. A heavy defeat to Leeds remains a concern.
• David Moyes, EvertonLast season finish: 13thMoyes returned to steady Everton amid financial penalties and relegation threats. Now owned by the Freidkin Group, the club aims higher. Moyes’ side started the season with good results, including a home win over Crystal Palace and draws with strong opponents.
• Andoni Iraola, LiverpoolLast season finish: 5thLiverpool traditionally backs managers for the long term. Iraola benefits from this culture and fan support, unlike his predecessor. The club hopes he can bring style and success reminiscent of Klopp, though three draws in four matches may raise questions.
• Daniel Farke, Leeds UnitedLast season finish: 14thDespite promotion, Farke faced rumors of replacement, reflecting unease from owners. With no change made, he has proven capable with a strong start including wins over Nottingham Forest and Newcastle. Leeds sits third early in the campaign, disproving second-season doubts.