AC Milan vs Inter Milan Preview: Predictions, Lineups, and Betting Tips for the Milan Derby

Odds provided by bet365, valid at time of publication and subject to change.

• First half 1x2: Draw @ 11/8
• Full-time 1x2: AC Milan @ 7/4
• First half both teams to score (BTTS): Yes @ 11/5

Level at Half-Time Expected

Both sides will likely field several fringe players, so defensive solidity may be less than usual early on. Last season, Milan and Inter each conceded only 35 goals across 38 Serie A matches. Still, rotation could disrupt defensive organization during the opening 45 minutes.

AC Milan failed to lead at halftime in 74% of league games last term, while Inter posted the lowest first-half scoring rate in Serie A, with 21% of matches goalless at the break. Inter were also without a halftime lead in 45% of their fixtures. In preseason friendlies, neither team has secured a halftime advantage yet.

The Nerazzurri were level with Karlsruhe and Manchester City after 45 minutes in their only two club friendlies. Milan trailed 2-0 at the interval in their preseason opener before rallying in the second half. Two of the past four head-to-head clashes ended in a halftime draw, so we expect the same outcome for Wednesday’s match in Perth.

Tip 1:

First half 1x2 - Draw @ 11/8 with bet365

Milan May Surprise

Despite Inter being the Scudetto winners last season, recent derby history shows AC Milan have often held the upper hand. The Rossoneri completed the league double over Inter with 1-0 victories in both encounters. Inter's last derby win was back in April 2024, leaving them without a victory in seven consecutive meetings against Milan.

Ruben Amorim’s squad should take confidence from winning five of the last seven derbies. Both teams remain unbeaten in preseason, making this match wide open. On neutral ground, backing Milan to upset Inter makes sense, especially as some key Inter players will miss out.

Tip 2:

Full-time 1x2 - AC Milan @ 7/4 with bet365

Expect Early Goals

Though the first half might end in a draw, it’s unlikely to stay scoreless. Inter netted 89 goals in 38 Serie A matches last season, demonstrating strong attacking firepower. Milan scored 53 goals, ranking sixth in the league, showing they can find the net regularly.

Both teams scored in the first half in 21% of Milan’s league games last season, placing them third highest in Serie A. Inter led this category, with 24% of their matches seeing goals from both sides before halftime.

Given these numbers, goals at both ends are probable early on. Across full matches, both teams scored in 47% of their league games. Inter also scored or conceded within the opening 15 minutes in 14 of 38 fixtures, the third-highest figure behind Como and Sassuolo.

Tip 3:

First half BTTS - Yes @ 11/5 with bet365

Form and Predictions

The Milan Derby headlines midweek action in Australia, featuring two Italian giants. AC Milan enters a new chapter under Ruben Amorim, who replaced Massimiliano Allegri after Milan missed Champions League qualification last season, which cost Allegri his job.

Amorim’s side has started preseason, though many regulars have yet to join. Some players like Rafael Leao and Luka Modric traveled to Perth but are unlikely to play extended minutes.

Christian Chivu’s Inter Milan faces a similar situation, with first-teamers gradually returning. The Italian champions aim to defend their domestic double, beginning with this fixture. Inter has started well in preseason, winning friendlies against Karlsruhe and Manchester City. The match versus City ended 1-1 in regulation, with Inter taking the win on penalties.

Inter will want a strong showing before facing Juventus this weekend.

• Score Prediction: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
• Goalscorers: AC Milan: Francesco Camarda x2, Ruben Loftus-Cheek; Inter Milan: Francesco Esposito, Andy Diouf

Expected Lineups

• AC Milan: Torriani, Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Ricci, Comotto, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek, Ossola, Camarda
• Inter Milan: Martinez, Pavard, Bisseck, Bastoni, Diouf, Barella, Stankovic, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Esposito, Iddrissou